2 Incredibly Costly Mistakes Too Many Investors Are Making Right Now |


When the stock market is climbing higher, investors often make two common mistakes. One is that they will chase high-flying stocks without any regard to valuation or the long-term outlook for a company’s business. This is often referred to as the fear of missing out, or FOMO.

Now, just because a stock has skyrocketed higher does not automatically mean it isn’t a buy. For example, if you bought Nvidia (NVDA 1.42%) up after a 500% run, you would still have been able to make a lot of money on your investment. In the case of Nvidia, the company was a market leader with a wide moat that continued to see extraordinary growth and generally traded at a reasonable forward price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation. In fact, that is still the case today, and it’s why the stock still looks attractive even after a 1,030% gain over the past five years.

However, Nvidia is more of an exception than the rule. In fact, J.P. Morgan found that between 1980 and 2020, more than 40% of stocks in the Russell 3000 suffered losses of 70% or more, from which they never fully recovered. That is why FOMO can get investors in trouble.

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Avoid trying to time the market

The other big mistake investors can make when the market is strong is the opposite of FOMO: It’s waiting for a market pullback. Bull markets can last a long time, and the S&P 500 index reaching all-time highs isn’t uncommon. In fact, according to J.P. Morgan, it has happened on about 7% of all trading days since 1950. Meanwhile, on a third of those occasions, the market never traded lower. That means if you were waiting for a pullback, it never came.

The other big consideration with waiting for a pullback is that investors also need to time getting back in, which isn’t easy. I sold a lot of my portfolio right when the pandemic hit. While I timed my selling pretty well, I didn’t expect the market to rally so quickly. Ultimately, I would have just been better off staying in the market rather than trying to time it.

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Given these two costly but seemingly opposite mistakes that investors can commit, my best advice is to use a core index exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO 0.52%), and consistently dollar-cost average into it over a long period of time. Because the overall market is typically driven by a small handful of winners, like Nvidia, investing in low-cost ETFs that track market-cap-weighted indexes is a great strategy. These indexes naturally let their winners continue to grow and their losers fade with no emotions involved. It removes stock-specific risks and allows time and compounding to do their jobs.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Geoffrey Seiler has positions in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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